2023-0044

Agent-Based Modeling of Pedestrian Mobility in the City From Research to Opportunity: Unlocking the Value of Pedestrian Flow Data

Understanding and predicting pedestrian flows across a city is critical for smarter urban planning, infrastructure investment, and business decision-making. Traditional data collection is expensive, fragmented, and limited in scope, making large-scale insights difficult to obtain.

Our solution: a city-scale Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) platform that combines high-resolution spatio-temporal and GPS-based walking data with advanced Machine Learning to simulate and predict pedestrian behavior in diverse urban environments. Validated in Tel Aviv and 5 more cities in Israel, the model offers unprecedented accuracy in mapping how people move through streets, neighborhoods, and entire urban regions.

THE GAP

Current agent-based models of pedestrian flow focus on small-scale, indoor, or event-specific environments (airports, malls, stadiums). They do not deliver reliable, high-resolution predictions for full neighborhoods or cities—leaving a major gap for city planners, businesses, and risk assessors.

OUR APPROACH

  • Data-driven behavior rules: Derived from GPS walking traces, travel surveys, and urban morphology.
  • High-resolution simulations: From neighborhood level to entire cities.
  • Robust calibration: Tested across areas with different physical layouts, functions, and demographics.

POTENTIAL MARKETS & USE CASES

  1. Urban Planning & Transportation Authorities
    • Identify infrastructure gaps (sidewalks, crossings, shaded paths).
    • Model the effects of new transit lines, land use changes, or density increases.
  2. Insurance Companies
    • Assess risk exposure to predict the likelihood of burglaries to buildings and cars in specific streets or zones.
    • Incorporate real mobility patterns into urban security and health risk models.
  3. Commercial Retail
    • Evaluate foot traffic potential for new store locations, including targeted population (socio-economic targeted) and more.
    • Compare multiple sites based on predicted pedestrian patterns at different times of day/week.
  4. Billboard & Out-of-Home Advertising Firms
    • Measure actual pedestrian exposure to advertising assets.
    • Price billboard space dynamically based on modeled attractiveness and visibility.
  5. Event Planners & Emergency Services
    • Simulate pedestrian crowd flows during large or extreme events to optimize safety and accessibility.

STATUS

  • Proof of Concept validated in 6 Cities including Tel Aviv with high predictive accuracy.
  • Ongoing pilots in additional cities, including cities outside Israel.

WHY NOW

The urban environment is becoming denser, more dynamic, and data-rich. Pedestrian movement is essential and central in the current sustainability-oriented urban planning. Moreover, the ability to model and predict how pedestrians interact with the built environment is no longer just a planning tool—it’s an asset for insurance, retail, advertising, and risk management industries.

Further details are available upon request

Sign up for
our events

    Close
    Life Science
    Magazine

      Close
      Hi-Tech
      Magazine

        Close